Military expert Alexander Kovalenko predicts that U.S. strikes on Iran will slow the production of Russian 'Shahed' attack drones by 10-15%. The reason is that Iran, facing an external threat, is redirecting resources to its own defense and halting the supply of critical technologies to Russia. This creates technological gaps for the Kremlin and inflicts reputational damage. The expert notes that a potential regime change in Iran and the subsequent lifting of sanctions could have a more painful impact on Russia than the direct imposition of new Western sanctions, undermining a key military-technical partnership.
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